FULL INTERVIEW: Peter McCrory says 6 months ago he thought his edge over Claude was knowing which qu
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FULL INTERVIEW: Peter McCrory says 6 months ago he thought his edge over Claude was knowing which question to ask. He no longer thinks that. His team is now working on 3 singularities: software, economic, and Coasean.
@PeterMcCrory is Head of Economics at @AnthropicAI and leads the Anthropic Economic Index. A month after publishing "Why hasn't AI increased unemployment?", he joined @theojaffee and @sophiadew to discuss what the labor data actually shows:
03:27 whether Dario's 10-20% unemployment call is still live
05:40 linking Claude usage to the actual unemployment survey, occupation by occupation
06:33 the workers most exposed are more worried, and no more unemployed
08:00 there is no job where every task is being automated
09:11 why a human in the loop pushes the complexity frontier out
10:43 what a century of structural transformation suggests happens next
13:26 six months ago he thought asking the right question was his moat
14:05 why ATMs didn't kill bank tellers but the iPhone did
15:21 electricity didn't matter until factories were rebuilt around it
17:26 automating a firm versus automating a worker
20:07 the 95% capability, 35% usage gap
21:30 infinite growth in finite time, in otherwise standard models
22:18 the software singularity, the economic singularity, and the Coasean one
@PeterMcCrory is Head of Economics at @AnthropicAI and leads the Anthropic Economic Index. A month after publishing "Why hasn't AI increased unemployment?", he joined @theojaffee and @sophiadew to discuss what the labor data actually shows:
03:27 whether Dario's 10-20% unemployment call is still live
05:40 linking Claude usage to the actual unemployment survey, occupation by occupation
06:33 the workers most exposed are more worried, and no more unemployed
08:00 there is no job where every task is being automated
09:11 why a human in the loop pushes the complexity frontier out
10:43 what a century of structural transformation suggests happens next
13:26 six months ago he thought asking the right question was his moat
14:05 why ATMs didn't kill bank tellers but the iPhone did
15:21 electricity didn't matter until factories were rebuilt around it
17:26 automating a firm versus automating a worker
20:07 the 95% capability, 35% usage gap
21:30 infinite growth in finite time, in otherwise standard models
22:18 the software singularity, the economic singularity, and the Coasean one